‘If you’re weak, he eats you,’ ex Luxembourgish PM’s advice on dealing with Trump
Luxembourg’s foreign minister Xavier Bettel wins the day in Warsaw with the most clear-eyed and entertaining explanation of Trump’s trade policy.
Bettel, who worked with Trump as his country’s prime minister during his first term, had this to say:
If you are weak, he eats you. And if you don’t negotiate, he kills you.
He is losing the appetite on Europe. This is how we should deal with him: be strong, but be united.
America first does not mean America alone, because America needs partners too.
Bettel added that the consequences of any trade war would also hit Maga voters at home with higher prices. “I thought that was not Trump’s goal,” he said.
Joking about the need to talk with the new US administration, he went on to say:
It is like a wedding. I was a mayor, I did a lot of weddings before being a prime minister, but I was also a lawyer, did a lot of divorces. The most important thing is to speak together, and when you have problems … to discuss, to be around the table.
In summary, he tried to hit an upbeat note…
I worked for years with him, with Donald, and we survived. And her survived it too. So I am convinced that we are all going to survive and have a strong economy. It is in no one’s interest trying to weaken someone.
And I told you, the best thing is that he is not hungry for Europe.
…but eventually said that if Trump moves against the EU, the bloc will have to retaliate:
Usually the cleverest is the one who gives up, but here is something where you would have to answer. If there are attacks, you have to defend.
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A brief note by her office says the pair – who both attended the Brussels meeting of EU leaders last night – will discuss European security, with particular focus on the Baltic Sea and the Arctic; Russia; and Nato.
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prime minister Mette Frederiksen attends a roundtable during the EU leaders’ informal meeting on European defence in Brussels yesterday.”,”caption”:”Denmark’s prime minister Mette Frederiksen attends a roundtable during the EU leaders’ informal meeting on European defence in Brussels yesterday.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Geert Vanden Wijngaert/EPA”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1738661238000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”04.27 EST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1738661482000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”04.31 EST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1738661483000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”04.31 EST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”04.31″,”title”:”Denmark’s Frederiksen to meet Britain’s Starmer in London today”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Tue 4 Feb 2025 04.36 EST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Tue 4 Feb 2025 03.21 EST”},{“id”:”67a1c78c8f08095cb9c5ce60″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Hungarian prime minister Viktor Orbán, on the other hand, is clearly enjoying life under Trump and the effect the US president is having on the EU.
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In a post after yesterday’s ‘leaders retreat’ in Brussels, he said that it was “a strange gathering” as “everyone in Brussels can see the Trump tornado coming, but most still think they can get away from it,” before adding: “They won’t.”
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In 14 days, Donald Trump has already turned the world upside down with a few measures. … Everything that the bureaucrats in Brussels have tried to force down our throats in recent years is over.
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He also says that “we can say goodbye to the rules of world trade as we know them.”
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President Trump will stand up for American interests, even against Europe. The European Union faces difficult months ahead and the bureaucrats in Brussels are going to have a tough time.
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Orbán seems to suggest that he is uniquely positions to negotiate a deal with Trump, unlike the EU bureaucracy, given their longstanding friendship. He visited Trump at Mar-a-Lago in July last year.
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We need to make an agreement, a deal, to preserve our economic relations with the United States. And a really good deal can be made by those who not only know but also respect each other. We always knew that President Trump would return, so we were prepared. We are constantly negotiating and we will make a good deal with the new administration of the United States.
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And what about the bureaucrats in Brussels? You’ve made your bed, now lie in it!
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prime minister Viktor Orbán met with Donald Trump in Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate in Palm Beach, Florida in July last year.”,”caption”:”Hungarian prime minister Viktor Orbán met with Donald Trump in Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate in Palm Beach, Florida in July last year.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Zoltan Fischer HANDOUT/EPA”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1738657319000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”03.21 EST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1738660736000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”04.18 EST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1738660716000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”04.18 EST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”04.18″,”title”:”Say goodbye to world trade rules as we know them, Hungary’s Orbán warns EU”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Tue 4 Feb 2025 04.36 EST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Tue 4 Feb 2025 03.21 EST”},{“id”:”67a1d5918f0807b9bdc5ccf4″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Luxembourg’s foreign minister Xavier Bettel wins the day in Warsaw with the most clear-eyed and entertaining explanation of Trump’s trade policy.
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Bettel, who worked with Trump as his country’s prime minister during his first term, had this to say:
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If you are weak, he eats you. And if you don’t negotiate, he kills you.
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He is losing the appetite on Europe. This is how we should deal with him: be strong, but be united.
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America first does not mean America alone, because America needs partners too.
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Bettel added that the consequences of any trade war would also hit Maga voters at home with higher prices. “I thought that was not Trump’s goal,” he said.
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Joking about the need to talk with the new US administration, he went on to say:
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It is like a wedding. I was a mayor, I did a lot of weddings before being a prime minister, but I was also a lawyer, did a lot of divorces. The most important thing is to speak together, and when you have problems … to discuss, to be around the table.
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In summary, he tried to hit an upbeat note…
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I worked for years with him, with Donald, and we survived. And her survived it too. So I am convinced that we are all going to survive and have a strong economy. It is in no one’s interest trying to weaken someone.
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And I told you, the best thing is that he is not hungry for Europe.
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“,”elementId”:”ceab5d45-25e4-4fe6-ac39-e9d25652d144″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
…but eventually said that if Trump moves against the EU, the bloc will have to retaliate:
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Usually the cleverest is the one who gives up, but here is something where you would have to answer. If there are attacks, you have to defend.
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Bettel, deputy prime minister and foreign minister of Luxembourg, speaking with the media, pictured last week.”,”caption”:”Xavier Bettel, deputy prime minister and foreign minister of Luxembourg, speaking with the media, pictured last week.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Olivier Matthys/EPA”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:true,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1738659217000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”03.53 EST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1738659510000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”03.58 EST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1738659510000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”03.58 EST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”03.58″,”title”:”‘If you’re weak, he eats you,’ ex Luxembourgish PM’s advice on dealing with Trump”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Tue 4 Feb 2025 04.36 EST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Tue 4 Feb 2025 03.21 EST”},{“id”:”67a1ca3e8f084a16022e2734″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
France’s far-right National Rally party does not intend to back a no-confidence motion in François Bayrou’s government over a budget bill he is seeking to pass without a vote, its president said Tuesday.
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Jordan Bardella, president of the National Rally (RN), said his party would take its final decision on Wednesday morning.
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“The question is: Is it better to have a bad budget or no budget at all? We will decide tomorrow,” Bardella told CNews television.
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“I think that in the period we are going through, the French people would not benefit from a new form of instability that would strongly impact the economy,” he said.
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Bardella’s line echoes that of the Socialist Party, which said that as much as it disagrees with many of the proposed measures, after so many months of prolonged uncertainty a budget it is still better than no budget.
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The declaration ultimately confirms that Bayrou is safe (for now).
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far-right party Rassemblement National (RN) president and lead MEP Jordan Bardella next to French deputy and president of Le Rassemblement National RN far right parliamentary group Marine Le Pen at an event last month.”,”caption”:”French far-right party Rassemblement National (RN) president and lead MEP Jordan Bardella next to French deputy and president of Le Rassemblement National RN far right parliamentary group Marine Le Pen at an event last month.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Raphaël Lafargue/ABACA/REX/Shutterstock”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1738657319000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”03.21 EST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1738658187000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”03.36 EST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1738658188000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”03.36 EST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”03.36″,”title”:”National Rally unlikely to support no confidence vote against France’s PM Bayrou”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Tue 4 Feb 2025 04.36 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Dereume holds up groundhog Punxsutawney Phil, as he makes his prediction on how long winter will last, during the Groundhog Day festivities.”,”caption”:”AJ Dereume holds up groundhog Punxsutawney Phil, as he makes his prediction on how long winter will last, during the Groundhog Day festivities.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Alan Freed/Reuters”}},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.BlockquoteBlockElement”,”html”:”
\n
What would you do if you were stuck in one place, and every day was exactly the same, and nothing that you did mattered?
\n
“,”elementId”:”bf9517fc-b3c6-401f-8768-5180873862af”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
EU trade ministers attending this morning’s informal meeting in Warsaw may well be asking themselves that question.
“,”elementId”:”c1f0f498-4d4b-4f15-8501-46a918b62fbc”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Originally it is a quote from the 1993 movie Groundhog Day about… you know what. You watched it, surely. Everyone has by now.
“,”elementId”:”90cd3b7b-03e9-47b0-a988-46d6891ae4f7″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
For EU leaders, it is also about the new challenge of figuring out who could be targeted by the US president Donald Trump’s trade policy next. Every. Single. Day.
“,”elementId”:”ee3a531a-3abf-47e4-8d8a-a228fb0545be”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen admitted last night that there were “clearly new challenges and growing uncertainties” with the US and waved a finger at Trump, saying the bloc would “respond firmly” if targeted “unfairly or arbitrarily” by the US.
“,”elementId”:”71aeb282-4837-4107-ab7d-99be61e57e5f”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Her principles for dealing with the US president were fairly simple: “be prepared… be very pragmatic, engage early, discuss and negotiate with necessary,” while focusing on reforming the bloc from within.
“,”elementId”:”a3927516-3bfd-488a-b0a6-ff5fb58da6c7″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Well, good luck.
“,”elementId”:”86e185ea-6378-4351-a2b7-83f2ff3163aa”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Overnight, Trump pulled back from imposing tariffs on Canada and Mexico (for now?) but followed through on his promises to target China, sparking instant retaliation from Beijing.
“,”elementId”:”09f10a9b-2308-4cac-bfb7-05d2b77c4b58″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement”,”prefix”:”Related: “,”text”:”China unveils US tariffs and Google investigation in response to Trump levies”,”elementId”:”1e582cf0-afd8-45e5-8b65-41d5b54da44d”,”role”:”thumbnail”,”url”:”https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/feb/04/trump-china-tariffs”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
Fortunately, EU trade ministers are meeting in Warsaw today to predict the unpredictable, figure out where we go next and how the bloc can “be prepared” for Trump. They will sort it out, right?
“,”elementId”:”6d2f1625-0137-4aff-ad12-84508ee2cea8″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
As the Bloomberg journalist and author Javier Blas commented on Trump’s brinkmanship style of negotiating: “So, do we do this every 30 days for the next four years?”
“,”elementId”:”74a018c1-9098-4f27-842c-b00e5cdfafd1″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
PS. The actual Groundhog Day was on Sunday, and Punxsutawney Phil, the hedgehog, has seen his shadow and is predicting six more weeks of wintry weather.
“,”elementId”:”cb03df90-23dc-49a6-9f58-cd7723f78513″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
That’s 1444 days, and 16 hours in human terms, until 20 January 2029. At least.
“,”elementId”:”dd04ca8d-2378-476b-a4db-e092e7df3543″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement”,”prefix”:”Related: “,”text”:”Groundhog Day: Punxsutawney Phil sees shadow, predicting longer winter”,”elementId”:”641a6fd2-e05e-4719-baf6-4aa0cf0907ba”,”role”:”thumbnail”,”url”:”https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/feb/02/groundhog-day-punxsutawney-phil-sees-shadow”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”
It’s Tuesday, 4 February 2025, and this is Europe live. It’s Jakub Krupa here.
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Good morning.
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Key events
Obviously, the meeting between Frederiksen and Starmer comes on the back of the UK prime minister’s attendance at an EU leaders’ summit last night, the first such case since Brexit.
Speaking at the press conference afterwards, EU leaders outlined the next steps in the process that could lead to “resetting” the relationship, with an EU-UK summit confirmed for 19 May.
After dinner, the European Council president, António Costa, told reporters that “everyone was delighted to welcome Sir Keir Starmer … and to say clearly that the United Kingdom and the European Union are reliable and predictable partners”.
Costa said he expected the EU and UK to hold a summit in the UK on 19 May to build “the closest relationship it will be possible to build together”.
But a majority of member states are demanding the UK sign up to the EU’s demands on fishing rights and a youth mobility scheme as part of a broader package to reset the relationship, including security.
Here is Jennifer Rankin’s report with the latest from Brussels.
Denmark’s Frederiksen to meet Britain’s Starmer in London today
Danish prime minister Mette Frederiksen continues her tour of Europe to rally support for Denmark’s position on Greenland and she will be in London today to meet with Britain’s prime minister Keir Starmer.
A brief note by her office says the pair – who both attended the Brussels meeting of EU leaders last night – will discuss European security, with particular focus on the Baltic Sea and the Arctic; Russia; and Nato.
Say goodbye to world trade rules as we know them, Hungary’s Orbán warns EU
Hungarian prime minister Viktor Orbán, on the other hand, is clearly enjoying life under Trump and the effect the US president is having on the EU.
In a post after yesterday’s ‘leaders retreat’ in Brussels, he said that it was “a strange gathering” as “everyone in Brussels can see the Trump tornado coming, but most still think they can get away from it,” before adding: “They won’t.”
In 14 days, Donald Trump has already turned the world upside down with a few measures. … Everything that the bureaucrats in Brussels have tried to force down our throats in recent years is over.
He also says that “we can say goodbye to the rules of world trade as we know them.”
President Trump will stand up for American interests, even against Europe. The European Union faces difficult months ahead and the bureaucrats in Brussels are going to have a tough time.
Orbán seems to suggest that he is uniquely positions to negotiate a deal with Trump, unlike the EU bureaucracy, given their longstanding friendship. He visited Trump at Mar-a-Lago in July last year.
We need to make an agreement, a deal, to preserve our economic relations with the United States. And a really good deal can be made by those who not only know but also respect each other. We always knew that President Trump would return, so we were prepared. We are constantly negotiating and we will make a good deal with the new administration of the United States.
And what about the bureaucrats in Brussels? You’ve made your bed, now lie in it!
‘If you’re weak, he eats you,’ ex Luxembourgish PM’s advice on dealing with Trump
Luxembourg’s foreign minister Xavier Bettel wins the day in Warsaw with the most clear-eyed and entertaining explanation of Trump’s trade policy.
Bettel, who worked with Trump as his country’s prime minister during his first term, had this to say:
If you are weak, he eats you. And if you don’t negotiate, he kills you.
He is losing the appetite on Europe. This is how we should deal with him: be strong, but be united.
America first does not mean America alone, because America needs partners too.
Bettel added that the consequences of any trade war would also hit Maga voters at home with higher prices. “I thought that was not Trump’s goal,” he said.
Joking about the need to talk with the new US administration, he went on to say:
It is like a wedding. I was a mayor, I did a lot of weddings before being a prime minister, but I was also a lawyer, did a lot of divorces. The most important thing is to speak together, and when you have problems … to discuss, to be around the table.
In summary, he tried to hit an upbeat note…
I worked for years with him, with Donald, and we survived. And her survived it too. So I am convinced that we are all going to survive and have a strong economy. It is in no one’s interest trying to weaken someone.
And I told you, the best thing is that he is not hungry for Europe.
…but eventually said that if Trump moves against the EU, the bloc will have to retaliate:
Usually the cleverest is the one who gives up, but here is something where you would have to answer. If there are attacks, you have to defend.
National Rally unlikely to support no confidence vote against France’s PM Bayrou
France’s far-right National Rally party does not intend to back a no-confidence motion in François Bayrou’s government over a budget bill he is seeking to pass without a vote, its president said Tuesday.
Jordan Bardella, president of the National Rally (RN), said his party would take its final decision on Wednesday morning.
“The question is: Is it better to have a bad budget or no budget at all? We will decide tomorrow,” Bardella told CNews television.
“I think that in the period we are going through, the French people would not benefit from a new form of instability that would strongly impact the economy,” he said.
Bardella’s line echoes that of the Socialist Party, which said that as much as it disagrees with many of the proposed measures, after so many months of prolonged uncertainty a budget it is still better than no budget.
The declaration ultimately confirms that Bayrou is safe (for now).
Morning opening: Groundhog Day 2025
Jakub Krupa
What would you do if you were stuck in one place, and every day was exactly the same, and nothing that you did mattered?
EU trade ministers attending this morning’s informal meeting in Warsaw may well be asking themselves that question.
Originally it is a quote from the 1993 movie Groundhog Day about… you know what. You watched it, surely. Everyone has by now.
For EU leaders, it is also about the new challenge of figuring out who could be targeted by the US president Donald Trump’s trade policy next. Every. Single. Day.
European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen admitted last night that there were “clearly new challenges and growing uncertainties” with the US and waved a finger at Trump, saying the bloc would “respond firmly” if targeted “unfairly or arbitrarily” by the US.
Her principles for dealing with the US president were fairly simple: “be prepared… be very pragmatic, engage early, discuss and negotiate with necessary,” while focusing on reforming the bloc from within.
Well, good luck.
Overnight, Trump pulled back from imposing tariffs on Canada and Mexico (for now?) but followed through on his promises to target China, sparking instant retaliation from Beijing.
Fortunately, EU trade ministers are meeting in Warsaw today to predict the unpredictable, figure out where we go next and how the bloc can “be prepared” for Trump. They will sort it out, right?
As the Bloomberg journalist and author Javier Blas commented on Trump’s brinkmanship style of negotiating: “So, do we do this every 30 days for the next four years?”
PS. The actual Groundhog Day was on Sunday, and Punxsutawney Phil, the hedgehog, has seen his shadow and is predicting six more weeks of wintry weather.
That’s 1444 days, and 16 hours in human terms, until 20 January 2029. At least.
It’s Tuesday, 4 February 2025, and this is Europe live. It’s Jakub Krupa here.
Good morning.
